4imprint is the leading direct marketer of promotional products in the United States, Canada, the UK and Ireland. In FY23, 98% of revenues were generated in the United States and Canada.
The US promotional products distribution market is highly fragmented and PPAI estimated its 2023 value at US$26.1bn, up 2.2% on the year, after a disappointing Q4. After a further dip in Q1, the market recovered lost ground in Q2 to be effectively flat over the half, implying further market share gains for 4imprint, already the largest player but with a share of just 5%. Some questions remain about confidence in the US corporate sector but the utility of promotional products is high and sector prospects remain positive.
TMT |
Flash note
TMT |
Update
TMT |
Update
TMT |
Update
David Seekings
FD
Kevin Lyons-Tarr
CEO
Forecast net cash (US$m)
133.7
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (6.6) | (6.6) | 13.1 |
Relative | (3.3) | (4.2) | 4.7 |
52 week high/low | 6540.0p/4265.0p |
4imprint’s trading update indicates no change to full year guidance and estimates, despite a challenging trading backdrop of wavering corporate confidence in an unstable economic and political environment. This has affected new customer acquisition more than it has affected transactions by existing customers, which is testament to the quality of the latter group. This in turn is a function of the group’s flexible marketing mix, including brand awareness. 4imprint had cash resources of $137m at end October (lease debt only) and has completed its programme to extend its main distribution centre, which should allow for a meaningful uplift in the dividend.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (US$m) | EBITDA (US$m) | PBT (US$m) | EPS (fd) (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 1140.3 | 108.4 | 103.7 | 285.6 | 22.4 | 17.7 |
2023A | 1326.5 | 142.6 | 140.7 | 377.9 | 16.9 | 10.8 |
2024E | 1393.5 | 151.0 | 150.0 | 404.6 | 15.8 | 12.4 |
2025E | 1484.0 | 160.4 | 159.3 | 423.3 | 15.1 | 11.4 |