Foxtons Group is London’s leading and most widely recognised estate agency. It operates from a network of 60 interconnected branches offering a range of residential-related services, which are split into three separate revenue streams: sales, lettings and mortgage broking.
Foxtons is almost entirely focused on the London market where both the lettings and sales markets are recovering as London and the rest of the UK head towards a ‘new normal’. Foxtons’ Greater London region contains 13% of the UK population and by value accounts for 33% of sales and 38% of UK lettings.
Real Estate |
Update
Real Estate |
Update
Real Estate |
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Flash note
Chris Hough
CFO
Guy Gittins
CEO
Nigel Rich
Chairman
Forecast net debt (£m)
5
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
4
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (10.7) | (16.9) | 27.8 |
Relative | (7.5) | (14.8) | 18.2 |
52 week high/low | 71.0p/42.7p |
The latest quarterly trading update again reconfirms the developing success of the Foxtons strategic vision and implies that medium-term targets, particularly the adjusted annualised operating profit target of £25–30m, are now coming further into focus. We believe that market share is being gained in all divisions, which is likely to be boosted further as the Sales pipeline is growing comfortably ahead of the market. We have modestly raised forecasts and our valuation to 134p/share and believe that if interest rates ease further, there are is upside risks potential to our forecasts.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (fd) (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 140.3 | 27.8 | 13.7 | 3.54 | 15.8 | N/A |
2023A | 147.1 | 30.0 | 15.2 | 4.06 | 13.8 | N/A |
2024E | 159.7 | 35.2 | 19.6 | 5.15 | 10.9 | N/A |
2025E | 168.9 | 38.1 | 22.9 | 5.95 | 9.4 | N/A |