ArborGen Holdings is a New Zealand-listed investment company and is the world’s largest integrated developer, commercial manufacturer and supplier of advanced forestry seedlings, with operations in the United States and Brazil.
Prior to the COVID-19 outbreak, the economic growth outlook in each of its core countries, the United States and Brazil, was either good or improving, according to OECD data. At this point, the primary end-markets served by ArborGen’s plantation forestry customer base were in a positive cyclical phase.
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Christina M Green
CFO
Dave Knott, Jr
Chairman
Justin Birch
President and CEO
Forecast net debt (US$m)
N/A
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
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% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | 5.1 | 0.7 | (19.4) |
Relative | 5.9 | 0.6 | (26.9) |
52 week high/low | 0.2/0.1 |
ArborGen’s FY24 results highlighted contrasting trading conditions, with challenges in the US offset by a strong performance from Brazil. However, despite the short-term issues, ArborGen remains in prime position to address increasing demand for its seedlings and to continue investment in genetic improvement to drive the switch to sales of higher-value, higher-margin seedlings in both markets. Our forecasts are under review following the FY24 results, an update on hurricane damage and the acquisition of a nursery in Brazil. We will update our valuation in due course.
Y/E Mar | Revenue (US$m) | EBITDA (US$m) | PBT (US$m) | EPS (fd) (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023A | 56.1 | 9.2 | 0.3 | (0.61) | N/A | 19.1 |
2024A | 67.7 | 12.8 | 3.1 | 0.88 | 9.5 | 3.6 |
2025E | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2026E | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
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