Barton Gold (ASX: BGD)

Last close As at 20/11/2024

AUD0.28

0.01 (3.77%)

Market capitalisation

AUD61m

Barton Gold is an Australian gold developer with 100% ownership of the only regional gold mill in the renowned central Gawler Craton of South Australia. Currently, it has JORC mineral resources of c 1.6Moz Au and is targeting future gold production of c 150,000oz annually.

We value Barton’s mill at A$0.46/share ‘as new’ and A$0.23/share ‘as is’. Hence, this asset alone almost covers Barton’s share price. Separately, we estimate Tunkillia’s pre-tax NPV (7.5%) of A$512m at c A$322.6m post-tax, or A$1.48/share. Based on EV/NPV multiples and adjusting for development stage etc, this translates into a further value of A$0.42–0.50/share, which is similar to the A$0.51/share NPV (10%) of dividends if the company were to raise equity to develop the project at its current share price. Therefore, we value Barton at A$0.65-0.96/share today. If it is able to extend its operations’ lives open-endedly via exploration (eg recently at Tarcoola), we calculate a possible valuation in excess of A$2.50/share.

Latest Insights

Metals & Mining | Initiation

Barton Gold — Special by name, special by nature

Equity Analyst

Lord Ashbourne

Lord Ashbourne

Director of Content, Mining

Key Management

  • Alexander Scanlon

    CEO

Balance Sheet

Forecast net debt (A$m)

N/A

Forecast gearing ratio (%)

N/A

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual 12.2 14.6 14.6
Relative 11.9 9.6 (2.9)
52 week high/low A$0.3/A$0.2

Financials

Barton’s initial scoping study at Tunkillia posited a 5Mtpa bulk open-pit mine operating over 6.4 years to generate an IRR of 40% at a gold price of A$3,500/oz, average AISC of A$1,917/oz and initial capex of A$374m. This puts it well on the road to executing its three-phase staged development strategy to achieve 150,000oz pa in gold production, with the first phase leveraging its existing fully-permitted mill and brownfield mines for a lower-cost ‘Stage 1’ operational start-up to fund this development profile.

Y/E Jun Revenue (A$m) EBITDA (A$m) PBT (A$m) EPS (c) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2023A 2.8 (5.2) (5.7) (3.2) N/A N/A
2024A 0.8 (8.6) (9.4) (4.7) N/A N/A
2025E N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026E N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

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