Dentsu Group operates in around 120 countries. It works with leading organisations to deliver experience transformation, through media, customer experience and creative services, and business transformation services.
Dentsu’s May release of its global ad spend forecasts saw it lift current year projections from 4.6% to 5.0%, with 4.2% (unchanged) for FY25 and 4.2% (previously 4.3%) for FY26. The main uplift was in digital ad spend, up from +6.5% to +7.4% for FY24, putting it just shy of 60% of the total ad-spend pie. Across the forecast period through to 2026, ad spend is forecast to increase at a CAGR of 4.5%, led by digital at +6.7%.
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Hiroshi Igarashi
President & CEO
Sayako Fujimura
Head of IR
Yushin Soga
CFO
Forecast net debt (¥m)
187742
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
20
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (22.2) | (14.3) | (6.3) |
Relative | (22.5) | (15.2) | (17.7) |
52 week high/low | ¥4861.0/¥3557.0 |
Dentsu posted Q324 organic net revenue growth of 0.3%, making a decline of 1.1% over the nine-month period. This is slightly below expectations at the half-year and, as the market for larger, transformational projects is still stagnant, management has trimmed full year organic revenue growth guidance to 0% (was 1%) and that for adjusted operating profit by 7%. There are positive elements to these figures, in particular continuing progress in Japan and good new business boosted by the ‘one dentsu’ initiative. The unveiling of the mid-term management plan has been delayed to February 2025, with the FY24 figures. Post the reaction to the Q3 figures, the shares now trade at a 10% discount to peers on EV/EBITDA.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (¥m) | EBITDA (¥m) | PBT (¥m) | EPS (fd) (¥) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 1246401.0 | 217519.0 | 187608.0 | 485.0 | 7.6 | 0.1 |
2023A | 1304552.0 | 178127.0 | 151631.0 | 338.0 | 10.9 | 0.1 |
2024E | 1400100.0 | 190189.0 | 151362.0 | 348.0 | 10.6 | 0.1 |
2025E | 1440000.0 | 206086.0 | 165139.0 | 382.0 | 9.7 | 0.0 |