Dowlais Group is an automotive components group with two core divisions: GKN Automotive is the market leader in drive systems for both ICEs and EVs, and GKN Powder Metallurgy is the leader in sintered component manufacture and number two in metal powders.
Management is focused on shareholder value. The 10%+ margin target is the bedrock of this strategy. The disposal of the cash-consumptive hydrogen business highlights this focus, as does the announced strategic review of the Powder Metallurgy business (potential sale, JV for the development of the magnets business or other), which could unlock value.
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Roberto Fioroni
CFO
Forecast net debt (£m)
916
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
37
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (3.5) | (15.5) | (48.9) |
Relative | (0.1) | (13.4) | (52.8) |
52 week high/low | 107.3p/47.8p |
Management action to reduce costs and drive commercial actions has enabled Dowlais Group to protect margins despite lower revenues from the weaker automotive market. Hence, management expectations for FY24 are confirmed. This should improve investor confidence and reduce the clear valuation gap.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (fd) (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 5246.0 | 594.0 | 212.0 | (15.3) | N/A | N/A |
2023A | 5489.0 | 618.0 | 264.0 | 13.8 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
2024E | 4987.0 | 584.0 | 207.0 | 11.0 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
2025E | 4929.0 | 595.0 | 216.0 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 1.4 |
thematic
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