Epwin Group supplies functional, low-maintenance exterior building products (including windows, doors, roofline and rainwater goods) into a number of UK market segments and is a modest exporter.
Epwin is exposed to both repair, maintain, improve (RMI, c 70% revenue) and new build (c 30%) in the UK housing market. Despite the expected weakness in new build, demand from the RMI market has remained more resilient with some optimistic signals beginning to emerge from new build for 2024.
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Chris Empson
FD
Jon Bednall
CEO
Forecast net debt (£m)
18.5
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
18
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1.9 | 18.9 | 60.9 |
Relative | 5.5 | 21.9 | 48.9 |
52 week high/low | 108.0p/66.5p |
Epwin Group’s H124 results were robust, with management navigating inflationary pressures well. That said, we have reduced our revenue estimates reflecting the H1 performance, maintained underlying operating profit estimates and raised EPS forecasts due to the impact of the increased share buyback programme. Long-term, well-established growth trends imply that Epwin is well-placed to leverage increasing demand for its energy-efficient and low-maintenance building products. The company offers an attractive investment case with the potential for uplifts from additional self-funded M&A. The extended share buyback programme should help support the share price.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (fd) (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 355.8 | 41.6 | 16.5 | 8.84 | 12.1 | N/A |
2023A | 345.4 | 50.1 | 18.0 | 9.58 | 11.2 | N/A |
2024E | 326.2 | 43.8 | 19.3 | 10.43 | 10.3 | N/A |
2025E | 336.0 | 44.0 | 19.5 | 10.87 | 9.8 | N/A |