Helios Underwriting was established in 2007 primarily to provide investors with a limited liability direct investment into the Lloyd’s insurance market. It is an AIM-quoted holding company, providing underwriting exposure across a diversified portfolio of selected Lloyd’s syndicates.
While Lloyd’s delivered record H1 results (for H124) of £4.9bn, premium growth has started to slow (4.4% vs 21.9% in H123). This may be signalling an imminent turn in the hard underwriting cycle we have seen in the past three years. Near-term combined ratios may recede from 17-year lows as premium increases moderate while natural catastrophe claims persist. Positive claims tailwinds and healthy investment returns could support a soft landing.
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Financials |
Update
Financials |
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Financials |
Update
Arthur Manners
FD
Michael Wade
Chairman
Forecast net debt (£m)
5.8
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
4
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | 0.3 | 5.3 | 19.8 |
Relative | 3.5 | 8.7 | 10.6 |
52 week high/low | 190.0p/135.5p |
Helios Underwriting has been a successful aggregator of Lloyd’s of London (Lloyd’s) syndicate capacity into an improving underwriting environment over recent years. Following a management change, it has shifted its strategic focus away from capacity growth to cost and capital efficiencies, as well as shareholder distributions. This positions it well for margin expansion, even as combined ratios face downwards pressure as the underwriting cycle starts turning. Helios has effectively dealt with share overhangs via strategic share buybacks.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (fd) (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 148.1 | (5.2) | (5.2) | (3.1) | N/A | N/A |
2023A | 214.9 | 22.1 | 22.1 | 20.8 | 9.0 | 13.8 |
2024E | 324.2 | 26.4 | 26.4 | 26.2 | 7.2 | 14.9 |
2025E | 410.9 | 36.4 | 36.4 | 36.6 | 5.1 | 4.0 |