Melrose Industries is a focused aerospace group with activities in engine components and structures, operating in both metallic and composite materials. The group has significant risk reward sharing partnership (RRSP) investments on multiple engine programmes.
The civil aerospace market continues to grow strongly. Melrose has been restructuring to deliver improving performance. FY24 EBIT guidance increased by 6% at the prelims (in line at the AGM update). FY25 remains unchanged, although management emphasised expectations that the key Engines business will see margins above 30% beyond 2025 (current FY25 guidance: 28%). The group’s new strategy is to develop as a focused aerospace business.
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Christopher Miller
Executive Vice Chairman
Matthew Gregory
CFO
Peter Dilnot
CEO
Forecast net debt (£m)
1282
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
35
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (4.6) | (11.9) | 4.3 |
Relative | (4.6) | (15.4) | (3.2) |
52 week high/low | 677.6p/446.8p |
FY23 organic growth was 17% and operating margins improved from 5.0% to 11.6%, driving a 165% increase in EBIT. Engines reported 16% growth, with margins up from 15.7% to 26% driven by strong aftermarket business. Structures reported organic growth of 18%, driven by civil, with the margin increased from 1.3% to 5.1% due to restructuring, contract repricing and volume benefits. Net debt was £572m, after £93m of the current £500m share buyback programme, with net debt/EBITDA at 1.1x. Q1 growth was 8%, with engines up 21% and structures flat with no change to guidance.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (fd) (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 2954.0 | 292.0 | 89.0 | 4.1 | 133.9 | 26.4 |
2023A | 3350.0 | 532.0 | 331.0 | 19.1 | 28.7 | 13.9 |
2024E | 3677.0 | 699.0 | 452.0 | 26.8 | 20.5 | 10.5 |
2025E | 4028.0 | 839.0 | 566.0 | 34.4 | 16.0 | 8.5 |