Metlen Energy & Metals (previously Mytilineos) is a leading industrial company with a global presence. The company is active in Energy and Metals (integrated aluminium smelting). Its renewable energy business is growing strongly organically, with a pipeline of 13GW in solar capacity.
Metlen has a portfolio of low-cost energy and metals assets. Its power business benefits from access to relatively low-cost natural gas and its generating and aluminium smelting assets are highly efficient. Metlen’s operating capacity in renewable energy sources exceeded 1GW for the first time in 9M24 (1.1GW). There has been no further update on Metlen’s potential listing on the LSE, but at H124 management stated that it is taking the necessary steps to achieve this.
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Evangelos Mytilineos
CEO and Chairman
Yiannis Kalafatas
CFO
Forecast net debt (€m)
2246
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (7.7) | (8.5) | (10.8) |
Relative | (3.8) | (5.8) | (19.6) |
52 week high/low | €39.5/€30.7 |
Metlen Energy & Metals is a leading industrial company with two core activities: Energy (renewables, generation and natural gas supply) and Metallurgy (aluminium smelting). It has an international presence in five continents. EBITDA increased by 6% to €763m in the first nine months of FY24 (9M24), compared to €722m in 9M23. Management guidance is for FY24 EBITDA of €1.0-1.2bn and net profit of €600-700m respectively. We maintain our forecasts and valuation of €49/share and believe earnings at the EBITDA level are sustainable above €1bn/year.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (€m) | EBITDA (€m) | PBT (€m) | EPS (fd) (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 6306.0 | 823.0 | 635.0 | 341.81 | 9.2 | 4.5 |
2023A | 5492.0 | 1013.0 | 770.0 | 446.20 | 7.0 | 11.4 |
2024E | 6354.0 | 1107.0 | 837.0 | 481.20 | 6.5 | 4.8 |
2025E | 7180.0 | 1171.0 | 889.0 | 512.32 | 6.1 | 3.6 |