The Pebble Group provides digital commerce, products and related services to the global promotional products industry through two focused, complementary and differentiated businesses: Facilisgroup and Brand Addition.
Pebble operates within the global promotional products market, estimated at $50bn. It is a highly competitive landscape, but distributor participants are predominantly small and local. The North American market is estimated by industry body PPAI to be worth $26.1bn in FY23 and to have grown by 2.2% in the year, slowing in H2. H124 performance is estimated to have been broadly flat. The total European market is a little smaller. The industry’s resilience is based on its utility and effectiveness as an advertising medium.
TMT |
Update
TMT |
edison tv
TMT |
audiovisual
TMT |
Outlook
Christopher Lee
CEO
Claire Thomson
CFO
Forecast net cash (£m)
8.8
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (17.1) | (27.5) | (48.5) |
Relative | (14.2) | (25.7) | (52.4) |
52 week high/low | 87.5p/43.5p |
Pebble’s H124 results put it on track to meet FY24 EBITDA market forecasts, set against continuing cautious industry sentiment. Management has been strengthening operations, including appointing a chief product officer at Facilisgroup and a global marketing director at Brand Addition. Client retention remains strong and forward indicators are positive at Facilisgroup. At Brand Addition, macro uncertainties mean clients remain circumspect, but financial performance is helped by better gross margins. The global promotional products market opportunity is substantial, and Pebble is well placed to make further inroads. Net cash of £4.9m at end June is expected to increase to £15.0m by the year-end (post £2m in share buybacks).
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (fd) (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 134.0 | 18.0 | 12.4 | 5.77 | 7.5 | 4.0 |
2023A | 124.2 | 16.0 | 9.9 | 4.59 | 9.5 | 4.6 |
2024E | 125.6 | 16.3 | 10.4 | 4.73 | 9.2 | 4.5 |
2025E | 130.0 | 17.2 | 11.2 | 5.04 | 8.6 | 4.1 |