Primary Health Properties (PHP) is a long-term investor in primary healthcare property in the UK and the Republic of Ireland. Assets are mainly long-let to GPs and the NHS or the HSE, organisations backed by the UK and Irish governments respectively.
The primary health property market is driven by supportive demographic trends and the need to modernise health provision, rather than the economy. PHP’s leases are long and substantially upward-only, 89% backed directly or indirectly by government bodies.
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Harry Hyman
CEO
Richard Howell
CFO
Steven Owen
Chairman
Forecast net cash (£m)
1268.9
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (1.9) | (4.0) | (2.4) |
Relative | (0.6) | (7.4) | (11.8) |
52 week high/low | 106.3p/85.5p |
Interim results for the six months to 30 June will be released on 24 July. FY23 EPS of 6.8p fully covered DPS of 6.7p (+3.1%). FY24 DPS is being paid at a rate of 1.725p, or an annualised 6.9p (+3.0%), PHP’s 28th year of unbroken dividend growth. FY23 earnings growth was mainly driven by strong organic rental growth from rent reviews and asset management projects, plus income arising from the acquisition of Axis. With building cost inflation yet to be reflected in rent levels, PHP is confident of further rental growth, while 97% of end-FY23 debt costs were fixed/hedged and the company’s cost ratio of 10.7% is one of the lowest in the UK REIT sector. Property valuations have been significantly more robust than the wider property sector, supported by rental growth and the defensive nature of the sector. As a result, FY23 adjusted NTA fell by just 4.1% to 108.0p/share and, adjusting for dividends, the accounting total return was 1.9%.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 141.5 | 131.9 | 56.9 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 10.5 |
2023A | 151.0 | 137.3 | 26.1 | 6.8 | 13.6 | 9.3 |
2024E | 154.3 | 141.6 | 77.5 | 6.9 | 13.4 | 8.7 |
2025E | 157.9 | 144.9 | 127.1 | 7.0 | 13.3 | 8.5 |