Regional REIT (RGL) owns a highly diversified commercial property portfolio located in the regional centres of the UK.
The commercial property market is cyclical, historically exhibiting substantial swings in capital values through cycles while income returns have been significantly more stable. Office valuations are significantly down from the 2022 peak, while rents have increased, and may benefit from the expected decline in interest rates.
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Update
Adam Dickinson
Head of IR
Daniel Taylor
Senior independent non-executive director
Frances Daley
Independent non-executive director
Kevin McGrath
Chairman
Massy Larizadeh
Independent non-executive director
Stephen Inglis
Non Executive Director
Forecast net debt (£m)
N/A
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (5.2) | 19.4 | (52.5) |
Relative | (4.0) | 15.2 | (57.1) |
52 week high/low | 47.9p/14.1p |
The Q124 DPS was maintained at 1.2p but full year DPS will partly depend on Regional REIT’s chosen route for refinancing the £50m 4.5% unsecured bond maturing in August and its broader loan-to-value (LTV) reduction plans. It continues to make good progress with asset disposals but these are unlikely to be sufficient to fund repayment of the bond. Q1 sales were £15m (before costs) with sales of £1.1m completed since. The disposal programme includes 59 properties totalling £111m. Strong rent collection and leasing momentum was maintained, at rent levels above estimated rental value, and EPC ratings strengthened further. EPRA occupancy was little changed at 79.9% but, allowing for expiries and including asset sales (we estimate £1.4m pa of rental income), rent roll was £2.3m lower at £65.5m. Borrowings reduced by c £8m to c £413m with cash and equivalents of £33.5m little changed. Pro-forma LTV was 55.2%.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (fd) (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 62.6 | 51.2 | (65.2) | 6.6 | 2.2 | N/A |
2023A | 53.7 | 43.1 | (67.4) | 5.2 | 2.8 | N/A |
2024E | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2025E | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |