Sylvania Platinum focuses on the re-treatment and recovery of platinum group metals (PGMs) including platinum, palladium and rhodium, mainly from tailings dumps and other surface sources, but also lesser amounts of run-of-mine underground ore from Samancor chrome mines in South Africa.
Demand for PGMs dropped in 2023 and remains under pressure due to increased recycling of PGMs, particularly in China. Demand continues to be muted in 2024, with inventories remaining high. In the longer term, we see significant headwinds for electric vehicles in most countries except China, and increased regulatory and emissions legislation pressure, driving increased PGM demand and positive price momentum. Production pressures in South Africa and Russia could provide a further underpin to prices.
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Jaco Prinsloo
CEO
Lewanne Carminati
CFO
Forecast net cash (US$m)
62.3
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (1.0) | (15.1) | (31.1) |
Relative | 2.2 | (12.3) | (36.4) |
52 week high/low | 77.0p/43.4p |
Sylvania Platinum’s FY24 results faced pressure from weak PGM prices, delayed production recovery and elevated expenses. The company is keenly focused on improving efficiencies, successfully rolling out the Thaba joint venture (JV) and completing exploration asset studies. We expect a strong pick-up in FY26 revenue from the JV, supported by cost control. Our valuation of 105.8p/share was affected by a strong rand, but offers upside from the JV, exploration assets and a recovery of PGM prices.
Y/E Jun | Revenue (US$m) | EBITDA (US$m) | PBT (US$m) | EPS (fd) (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023A | 130.0 | 66.0 | 67.0 | 16.7 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
2024A | 82.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 2.7 | 23.3 | 11.0 |
2025E | 104.0 | 20.0 | 18.0 | 5.1 | 12.4 | 10.3 |
2026E | 141.0 | 46.0 | 39.0 | 10.7 | 5.9 | 4.0 |
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