Target Healthcare REIT (LSE: THRL)

Last close As at 20/11/2024

GBP0.84

−0.40 (−0.47%)

Market capitalisation

GBP523m

Target Healthcare REIT invests in modern, purpose-built residential care homes in the UK let on long leases to high-quality care providers. It selects assets according to local demographics and intends to pay increasing dividends underpinned by structural growth in demand for care.

The care home sector is driven by demographics rather than the economy, generating a positive demand outlook for new, ESG-compliant, purpose-built homes with flexible layouts and high-quality residential facilities. With its unwavering focus on asset and tenant quality, these are the homes in which Target invests. It believes best-in-class assets, in areas with strong demand/supply characteristics, and sustainable rent levels will always be attractive to existing or alternative tenants and are key to providing sustainable, long-duration income with capital growth.

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Sector

Real Estate

Equity Analyst

Martyn King

Martyn King

Director, Financials

Key Management

  • Alison Fyfe

    Chairman

  • Gordon Bland

    FD

  • Kenneth MacKenzie

    CEO

Balance Sheet

Forecast net debt (£m)

215

Forecast gearing ratio (%)

33

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual (5.7) 1.2 (2.2)
Relative (2.4) 3.7 (9.5)
52 week high/low 91.7p/75.5p

Financials

Indexed rent reviews and development completions continue to support both earnings and property values. In FY24, rental income growth offset higher interest costs and adjusted earnings increased 2%, covering DPS 1.07x. EPRA NTA increased 6% to 110.7p per share and the NAV total return was 11.7%. Quarterly DPS will increase again from Q125, by 3%. Tenants continue to perform well and rent collection was 99%, with rent cover on mature homes at a high 1.9x.

Y/E Jun Revenue (£m) EBITDA (£m) PBT (£m) EPS (p) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2023A 67.7 N/A 37.2 6.0 14.1 17.4
2024A 69.6 N/A 38.0 6.1 13.8 12.4
2025E 70.1 N/A 38.7 6.2 13.6 17.4
2026E 72.8 N/A 39.0 6.3 13.4 13.1

Research

Update

Real Estate

Target Healthcare REIT — Q322 quarterly return of 2.5%

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Outlook

Real Estate

Target Healthcare REIT — Driven by demographics

Update

Real Estate

Target Healthcare REIT — Income growth and growing NAV

Update

Real Estate

Target Healthcare REIT — Nearing full investment

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Real Estate

Executive interview – Target Healthcare REIT

Update

Real Estate

Target Healthcare REIT — Portfolio growth

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Initiation

Real Estate

Target Healthcare REIT — Care home specialist

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