Team Internet Group is a global internet company that derives recurring revenue from privacy-safe, AI-based customer journeys that help online consumers make informed choices, as well as from the distribution of domain names.
Team Internet’s largest addressable market is online marketing, with global spending reaching US$616bn in 2022 and forecast to grow at a CAGR of 10% to 2027, according to Statista. While Team Internet currently has a small share of this market, its proprietary digital marketing capabilities and blue-chip partnerships offer the potential for rapid growth. However, further market consolidation may result in heightened competition from larger competitors, namely marketing technology companies such as The Trade Desk and AppLovin.
TMT |
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TMT |
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TMT |
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Billy Green
CFO
Iain McDonald
Chairman
Martin Surzyn
Head of investor relations
Michael Riedl
CEO
Forecast net debt (US$m)
77
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
50
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (34.6) | (41.3) | (27.1) |
Relative | (32.3) | (39.9) | (32.5) |
52 week high/low | 204.0p/82.7p |
In the face of an advertising market that has not picked up in Q324, Team Internet’s core business has performed creditably. However, Shinez has significantly underperformed expectations and is unlikely to contribute materially to profits in our forecast period. Combined with a moderation in our forecasts for the core business, we now expect earnings to remain broadly flat in FY24 and FY25, which results in a 17.6% reduction to FY25e EPS. The FY25e P/E rating of 5.6x with a 20% free cash flow (FCF) yield looks overly discounted.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (US$m) | EBITDA (US$m) | PBT (US$m) | EPS (fd) (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 728.0 | 86.0 | 64.0 | 14.70 | 7.5 | 5.5 |
2023A | 837.0 | 96.0 | 77.0 | 22.48 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
2024E | 841.0 | 97.0 | 78.0 | 22.85 | 4.8 | 3.6 |
2025E | 853.0 | 98.0 | 80.0 | 23.34 | 4.7 | 3.5 |