Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) invests in primarily newly built and newly renovated social housing assets in the UK, with a particular focus on supported housing. SOHO aims to provide a stable, long-term inflation-linked income with the potential for capital growth.
Specialised social housing is widely recognised to improve lives in a cost-effective manner compared with the alternatives of residential care or hospitals. Most providers/lessees are responding positively to regulatory activity by enhancing operational performance, financial strength and governance structures, all positive for sector sustainability.
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Ben Beaton
Managing partner
Gregory Banner
Investment manager
Isobel Gunn-Brown
CFO
James Cranmer
Managing partner
Forecast net debt (£m)
231.4
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
57850
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (2.5) | (1.8) | (2.9) |
Relative | 0.9 | 0.7 | (10.1) |
52 week high/low | 66.5p/54.9p |
H124 adjusted cash earnings per share increased by 31% to 2.74p compared with H123, and fully covered DPS. Indexed rent uplifts, improving rent collection and reduced rent provisions drove the earnings growth, while expenses were well controlled and long-term borrowings are all at fixed cost. Two-thirds of FY24 rent reviews were settled in H1, at an average 6.1% uplift. Rent collection increased to 93.3% (FY23: 90.2%) and SOHO expects this will improve further following the lease transfer from Parasol to Westmoreland. Discussions continue with My Space, where a further lease transfer is a possibility. Property valuations fell as yield widening more than offset rental growth and NAV per share of 112.4p was 1.2% lower, but the progress with problem tenants and lower interest rates should provide support. The agreed sale of a £22m portfolio of assets is expected to complete in November, paving the way for accretive share repurchases.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 37.4 | 27.5 | 19.3 | 4.78 | 12.7 | 9.5 |
2023A | 39.8 | 27.0 | 19.5 | 4.92 | 12.3 | 9.3 |
2024E | 41.7 | 30.8 | 23.1 | 5.86 | 10.4 | 8.0 |
2025E | 41.4 | 32.6 | 24.9 | 6.50 | 9.3 | 7.3 |