Triple Point Social Housing REIT (LSE: SOHO)

Last close As at 21/11/2024

GBP0.61

−0.70 (−1.14%)

Market capitalisation

GBP239m

Triple Point Social Housing REIT (SOHO) invests in primarily newly built and newly renovated social housing assets in the UK, with a particular focus on supported housing. SOHO aims to provide a stable, long-term inflation-linked income with the potential for capital growth.

Specialised social housing is widely recognised to improve lives in a cost-effective manner compared with the alternatives of residential care or hospitals. Most providers/lessees are responding positively to regulatory activity by enhancing operational performance, financial strength and governance structures, all positive for sector sustainability.

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Triple Point Social Housing REIT_resized

Sector

Real Estate

Equity Analyst

Martyn King

Martyn King

Director, Financials

Key Management

  • Ben Beaton

    Managing partner

  • Gregory Banner

    Investment manager

  • Isobel Gunn-Brown

    CFO

  • James Cranmer

    Managing partner

Balance Sheet

Forecast net debt (£m)

231.4

Forecast gearing ratio (%)

57850

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual (2.5) (1.8) (2.9)
Relative 0.9 0.7 (10.1)
52 week high/low 66.5p/54.9p

Financials

H124 adjusted cash earnings per share increased by 31% to 2.74p compared with H123, and fully covered DPS. Indexed rent uplifts, improving rent collection and reduced rent provisions drove the earnings growth, while expenses were well controlled and long-term borrowings are all at fixed cost. Two-thirds of FY24 rent reviews were settled in H1, at an average 6.1% uplift. Rent collection increased to 93.3% (FY23: 90.2%) and SOHO expects this will improve further following the lease transfer from Parasol to Westmoreland. Discussions continue with My Space, where a further lease transfer is a possibility. Property valuations fell as yield widening more than offset rental growth and NAV per share of 112.4p was 1.2% lower, but the progress with problem tenants and lower interest rates should provide support. The agreed sale of a £22m portfolio of assets is expected to complete in November, paving the way for accretive share repurchases.

Y/E Dec Revenue (£m) EBITDA (£m) PBT (£m) EPS (p) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2022A 37.4 27.5 19.3 4.78 12.7 9.5
2023A 39.8 27.0 19.5 4.92 12.3 9.3
2024E 41.7 30.8 23.1 5.86 10.4 8.0
2025E 41.4 32.6 24.9 6.50 9.3 7.3