FinTech Group — Attractively positioned for growth

Flatex (DB: FTK)

Last close As at 20/12/2024

EUR20.64

−0.20 (−0.96%)

Market capitalisation

EUR2,265m

More on this equity

Research: Financials

FinTech Group — Attractively positioned for growth

FinTech Group’s (FTG) brokerage business benefited from the jump in volatility in Q1. Volatility has since abated, but the business stands to benefit from a new ETP partnership with Goldman Sachs announced in March. Meanwhile, FTG remains well positioned to benefit from a strengthening German economy and the eventual rise in interest rates. Despite being the fastest-growing major broking business in Europe, the shares continue to trade at a discount to the brokerage sector.

Analyst avatar placeholder

Written by

Financials

FinTech Group

Attractively positioned for growth

Financial services

Scale research report - Update

23 July 2018

Price

€29.75

Market cap

€521m

Share price graph

Share details

Code

FTK

Listing

Scale

Shares in issue

17.5m

Business description

FinTech Group (FTG) is an integrated online brokerage business. It is divided into two business areas – a technology business and a financial services business that includes a bank and a brokerage business.

Bull

Attractively valued against brokerage peer group.

Favourable regulatory environment within Europe.

Positioned to benefit from eventual upswing in interest rate cycle.

Bear

Focused on the German market with limited geographical exposure.

The company does not pay a dividend as the focus is on investing for growth.

Complex group structure, which is being amended.

Analyst

Richard Jeans

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

FinTech Group’s (FTG) brokerage business benefited from the jump in volatility in Q1. Volatility has since abated, but the business stands to benefit from a new ETP partnership with Goldman Sachs announced in March. Meanwhile, FTG remains well positioned to benefit from a strengthening German economy and the eventual rise in interest rates. Despite being the fastest-growing major broking business in Europe, the shares continue to trade at a discount to the brokerage sector.

Investment case: Combining a bank with technology

A key differentiator is that FTG also owns a bank and a software business, which uniquely gives it exposure to the bulk of the value chain. Flatex’s >200k customers are among the most active in the market, generating c 47 trades per customer per year. We see upside possibilities from the sale of FTG products to non-FTG clients, and we see the potential for fee increases given the rate per trade has remained unchanged for 11 years. Additionally, FTG is a play on a strengthening economy and subsequent rising interest rate environment as the group stands to benefit from interest income on its extensive customer deposits. With the ECB deposit rate at minus 0.4%, we believe there is more scope for rises than further declines.

FY18 trading and guidance

FY17 revenues grew by 13% to €107m while net profit surged by 36% to €16.8m. The collateralised credit book grew by 54% to €202m, as interest income jumped by 31% to €10.4m. The group saw a strong start to FY18, with 10k B2C clients added in Q1 (up 5% since December) and processed 3.7m settled transactions (up 31% over Q117). This implies that trades per customer were 56 on an annualised basis in Q1. The trading volumes were boosted by the spike in volatility in February. Management reiterated its revenue guidance of €120m, EBITDA of €40m and a net profit of €24m. FinTech is planning to shift its listing to the Prime Standard later this year.

Valuation: Attractive relative to peer group

The shares trade on 15.9x FY19e consensus earnings. We continue to believe this rating looks very attractive relative to its peer group (see page 4), given FTG’s favourable growth profile and improving margins.

Consensus estimates

Year
end

Revenue
(€m)

EBITDA
(€m)

EPS
(€)

DPS
(€)

P/E
(x)

Yield
(%)

12/16

95.0

30.6

0.73

0.0

40.8

N/A

12/17

107.0

32.1

1.00

0.0

29.8

N/A

12/18e

125.0

45.7

1.49

0.0

19.9

N/A

12/19e

143.8

56.3

1.87

0.0

15.9

N/A

Source: Bloomberg

Edison Investment Research provides qualitative research coverage on companies in the Deutsche Börse Scale segment in accordance with section 36 subsection 3 of the General Terms and Conditions of Deutsche Börse AG for the Regulated Unofficial Market (Freiverkehr) on Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (as of 1 March 2017). Two to three research reports will be produced per year. Research reports do not contain Edison analyst financial forecasts.

Strong momentum continued in Q118

FY17 revenues grew by c 13% to €107m while net profit surged by c 36% to €16.8m. The collateralised credit book grew by 54% to €202m and interest income jumped by 31% to €10.4m. The group saw a strong start to FY18, with 10k B2C clients added in Q1 (up 5% since December) and it settled 3.7m transactions (up 31% over Q117). This implies that the annualised number of trades per client jumped to c 56 in Q1, having fallen in FY17 due to historically low volatility last year. The jump in Q1 activity was driven by the spike in global stock market volatility in February.

In December 2017, Morgan Stanley, which has a strategic partnership with FinTech Group, acquired a 4% stake in FinTech Group, through the issue of 700k new shares for €18.2m in cash (€25.94 per share). This helped to boost the group’s equity ratio, which jumped to 10.2% at end-December from 5.9% a year earlier. The decline in customers‘ cash and deposits also boosted this ratio, with the decline due to FTG passing on the 0.4% negative interest rate to customers.

In March the supervisory board extended the CEO Frank Niehage’s contract to 2022. The company is holding its AGM on 7 August and it is scheduled to report its interim results on 30 September.

Exhibit 1: Key performance indicators

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY17

Q118

Transactions executed (000's)

6,625

5,487

6,023

10,143

10,462

11,272

3,700

Number of retail customers (000's)

118.2

126.1

134.4

176.6

212.0

253.8

264

Transactions per customer per year

56.07

43.51

44.81

57.44

49.34

44.41

56

Customer assets under management (€m)

2,810

3,527

4,043

5,770

10,855

11,794

of which: securities account volume

2,272

2,795

3,236

4,784

9,512

10,910

of which: deposits account volume

538

732

807

986

1,343

884

Source: FinTech Group

The FY17 growth was driven by the core broking activities, with commission income rising 21%, as well as the credit book with interest income jumping by nearly a third.

Exhibit 2: Revenue by type

€’000

2016

2017

Change (%)

Commission income

64,031

77,488

21.0

Provision of IT services

15,583

16,006

2.7

Interest income

7,799

10,352

32.7

Other operating income

7,608

3,168

(58.4)

Total

95,021

107,014

12.6

Source: FinTech Group

B2C activities

In 2017, FTG significantly expanded its market share in Germany with flatex, and assumed the position of market leader in Austria with around 25,000 flatex.at customers. Flatex plans to build on its strategic partnership with Morgan Stanley aims to expand brokerage market share further in Germany. Plans are also in place to expand the brokerage business across Western Europe.

The credit book jumped by 49% over the year to c €202m. This primarily reflects the growth in the margin trading activity. FinTech Bank offers loans at a 4.9% interest rate on collateral, up to a maximum 25% LTV of the value of shares held by the customer.

ETP partnership with Goldman Sachs. In March, FTG announced a partnership with Goldman Sachs, with Goldman becoming a preferred ETP (Exchange Traded Products) partner at flatex. From 15 March, Goldman’s extensive product range has been available for flatex customers at a flat fee of €1.90, for order values of at least €1,000. This deal helps to expand flatex’s market leadership in trading certificates and warrants.

B2B activities

The group offers technology it uses within its brokerage and banking businesses to other businesses on a white labelled basis. There is a targeted contract lifetime of five to seven years with a contract lifetime value of €5-10m. Around 10% of the contract value is in set-up fees with the balance of 90% in recurring revenues. The group acquired two major new B2B projects in FY17, and FTG now has more than 30 B2B clients.

A key driver remains cost pressure, with return on equity c 4% for German banks compared with 8-10% globally. This puts pressure on banks to reduce costs and hence to outsource inefficient back office structures and processes. We note that IT is the second biggest cost for banks. A focus is to target FTG:CBS (core banking system) as the standard platform for private and specialised banks

The former ‘Securities Trading & Financial Services’ segment has been expanded to include FinTech Group Bank and renamed ‘Financials Services’ (FIN). The FIN segment thus includes the products in B2C online brokerage, B2B white-label banking, as well as electronic securities settlements, securities custody and other banking services.

The ‘Technologies’ (TECH) segment includes all IT services: among other things it develops and operates the group’s core banking system FTG:CBS. In addition, this segment includes research and development activities.

Exhibit 3: FY17 y-o-y analysis

2016

2017

€’000

FIN

TECH

Other

Total

FIN

TECH

Other

Total

Revenues

73,394

33,733

(12,106)

95,021

89,113

30,642

(12,742)

107,013

Raw materials and consumables used

(22,202)

(6,766)

3,487

(25,481)

(28,688)

(3,937)

1,640

(30,985)

Personnel expenses

(10,390)

(5,803)

(3,297)

(19,490)

(15,353)

(2,702)

(5,088)

(23,143)

Other administrative expenses

(22,781)

(3,974)

7,329

(19,426)

(25,206)

(3,050)

7,445

(20,811)

EBITDA

18,021

17,189

(4,587)

30,624

19,866

20,952

(8,744)

32,075

Margins

24.6%

51.0%

32.2%

22.3%

68.4%

30.0%

Depreciation and amortization

(5,159)

(5,590)

EBIT

25,465

26,484

Financial results

(1,226)

(1,288)

EBT

24,239

25,196

Income tax expense

(3,956)

(8,179)

Earnings from continuing activities

20,283

17,017

Earnings from discontinued operations

(7,967)

(220)

Consolidated net profit

12,316

16,797

Source: FinTech Group

Research & development (R&D)

FTG spent €10.0m on R&D in FY17, up from €6.6m in FY16, of which €7.9m was capitalised and €2.1m was expensed. The increase related to several B2B projects the group is working on.

Exhibit 4: Research & development

€’000

2016

2017

Change (%)

Development

4679

7889

68.6

Research

1949

2086

7.0

R&D total

6628

9975

50.5

% sales

7.0%

9.3%

R&D capitalised

5304

7889

48.7

R&D expensed

1324

2086

57.6

R&D amortised

2122

2192

3.3

Net capitalised

3182

5697

79.0

Source: FinTech Group accounts

Valuation: Attractive relative to peer group

The shares trade on 15.9x FY19e Bloomberg consensus earnings. This looks very attractive relative to peers; of its main European quoted peers, only Binckbank trades on a lower rating, but has been struggling, with weaker margins and a slower growth profile. Meanwhile, Avanza trades at a significant premium despite missing Q2 numbers.

Exhibit 5: Peer group comparison

Share price

Market cap

Revenue (local currency m’s)

Operating profit (local curr m’s)

Operating margin (%)

PE (x)

local curr

local curr

Curr

Year 0

Year 1

Year 2

CAGR

Year 1

Year 2

Year 1

Year 2

Year 1

Year 2

FinTech Group

29.75

521

EUR

107.0

125.0

143.8

15.9%

39.3

48.6

31.4%

33.8%

19.9

15.9

Global B2C peers

Avanza

390.4

11,711

SEK

965.0

1049.6

1187.6

10.9%

437.0

540.0

41.6%

45.5%

30.3

25.5

Binckbank

4.82

325

EUR

149.0

144.5

148.0

(0.3)%

33.0

35.2

22.8%

23.8%

12.1

12.3

Etrade

63.13

16,661

USD

2359.1

2881.7

3113.9

14.9%

1340.7

1478.7

46.5%

47.5%

17.6

15.5

FinecoBank

10.28

6,254

EUR

580.2

636.6

701.6

10.0%

388.3

440.5

61.0%

62.8%

25.5

21.7

Interactive Brokers *

65.34

26,901

USD

1609.6

1915.0

2231.2

17.7%

*1723.0

*1987.0

*90.0%

*89.1%

30.4

25.7

Swissquote

56.5

866

CHF

187.5

202.0

227.5

10.2%

108.8

118.4

53.9%

52.1%

17.9

16.2

Medians excl FinTech Group

10.5%

50.2%

49.8%

21.7

18.9

European B2B peers

CREALOGIX

150

208

CHF

71.6

88.1

102.0

19.4%

10.5

15.0

11.9%

14.7%

26.2

19.7

First Derivatives

4020

1,040

GBP

179.6

212.7

239.0

15.4%

25.0

27.9

11.7%

11.7%

50.0

45.0

GFT

13.45

354

EUR

414.7

416.4

448.4

4.0%

27.8

32.1

6.7%

7.2%

17.8

13.9

Gresham Technologies

156.5

106

GBP

21.7

23.4

25.0

7.4%

4.2

5.1

17.8%

20.4%

24.8

21.7

Sopra Steria

174.7

3,590

EUR

3823.8

4056.6

4248.4

5.4%

299.0

339.5

7.4%

8.0%

16.1

14.0

Temenos

150

10,627

CHF

728.8

843.8

948.8

14.1%

242.3

288.6

28.7%

30.4%

50.5

42.8

Medians excl FinTech Group

10.7%

11.8%

13.2%

25.5

20.7

Source: Bloomberg. Note: *EBITDA and EBITDA margins are shown in place of operating profits/margins. Priced at 19 July 2018.

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world-renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisers and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting. Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (Edison NZ) is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison. Edison NZ is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. Edison Investment Research Inc (Edison US) is the US subsidiary of Edison and is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison Investment Research Pty Limited (Edison Aus) [46085869] is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison Germany is a branch entity of Edison Investment Research Limited [4794244]. www.edisongroup.com

DISCLAIMER
Any Information, data, analysis and opinions contained in this report do not constitute investment advice by Deutsche Börse AG or the Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse. Any investment decision should be solely based on a securities offering document or another document containing all information required to make such an investment decision, including risk factors.

Copyright 2018 Edison Investment Research Limited. All rights reserved. This report has been commissioned by Deutsche Börse AG and prepared and issued by Edison for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. The securities described in the Investment Research may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This research is issued in Australia by Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Myonlineadvisers Pty Ltd (AFSL: 427484)) and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. The Investment Research is distributed in the United States by Edison US to major US institutional investors only. Edison US is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison US relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personalised advice. We publish information about companies in which we believe our readers may be interested and this information reflects our sincere opinions. The information that we provide or that is derived from our website is not intended to be, and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, our website and the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. This document is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report. Edison or its affiliates may perform services or solicit business from any of the companies mentioned in this report. The value of securities mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise and are subject to large and sudden swings. In addition it may be difficult or not possible to buy, sell or obtain accurate information about the value of securities mentioned in this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (ie without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Edison, its affiliates and contractors, and their respective directors, officers and employees will not be liable for any loss or damage arising as a result of reliance being placed on any of the information contained in this report and do not guarantee the returns on investments in the products discussed in this publication. FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE 2018. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under license. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s express written consent.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

295 Madison Avenue, 18th Floor

10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

More on Flatex

View All

Financials

Flatex — Grateful for volatility

Financials

Flatex — Dutch delight

Financials

FinTech Group — Strategic review

Latest from the Financials sector

View All Financials content

Research: Real Estate

Town Centre Securities — Positive trading update and innovative refinancing

Town Centre Securities (TCS) says that FY18 ended positively with overall trading in line with the board’s expectations. Like-for-like property rental income increased, with a good level of occupancy maintained, and car parking revenues and profits grew further. In addition to refinancing existing bank debt facilities, TCS has also now completed an innovative refinancing of Merrion House in Leeds, which allows it to maintain its joint ownership, benefit from rental increases and receive a £26.4m cash injection. This will provide additional financial flexibility as TCS continues to invest for growth.

Continue Reading

Subscribe to Edison

Get access to the very latest content matched to your personal investment style.

Sign up for free