TXT e-solutions — Diversifying the banking and finance business

TXT e-solutions (Euronext STAR Milan: TXT)

Last close As at 21/11/2024

9.88

−0.06 (−0.60%)

Market capitalisation

129m

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Research: TMT

TXT e-solutions — Diversifying the banking and finance business

TXT has announced an agreement to acquire an Italian financing software company for an enterprise value of €7.6m. This marks the first acquisition since TXT Retail was sold and diversifies the offering for the banking and finance business, adding software to what is predominantly a services offering. We estimate the deal should be earnings accretive (+11% FY18e EPS, +23% FY19e) and will revise our estimates on completion.

Katherine Thompson

Written by

Katherine Thompson

Director

TMT

TXT e-solutions

Diversifying the banking and finance business

Acquisition

Software & comp services

26 June 2018

Price

€10.68

Market cap

€125m

Net cash (€m) at end Q118

87.9

Shares in issue

11.7m

Free float

45.5%

Code

TXT

Primary exchange

Borsa Italiana (STAR)

Secondary exchange

N/A

Share price performance

%

1m

3m

12m

Abs

(6.6)

(1.5)

(7.9)

Rel (local)

(2.6)

2.5

(9.9)

52-week high/low

€13.5

€9.2

Business description

TXT e-solutions operates through TXT Next, which provides IT, consulting and R&D services to aerospace, aviation, banking and finance customers.

Next events

Q218 results

2 August 2018

Analysts

Katherine Thompson

+44 (0)20 3077 5730

Dan Ridsdale

+44 (0)20 3077 5729

TXT e-solutions is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited

TXT has announced an agreement to acquire an Italian financing software company for an enterprise value of €7.6m. This marks the first acquisition since TXT Retail was sold and diversifies the offering for the banking and finance business, adding software to what is predominantly a services offering. We estimate the deal should be earnings accretive (+11% FY18e EPS, +23% FY19e) and will revise our estimates on completion.

Year end

Revenue (€m)

PBT*
(€m)

EPS*
(€)

DPS
(€)

P/E
(x)

Yield
(%)

12/16

33.1

4.0

0.27

0.30

39.4

2.8

12/17

35.9

3.0

0.19

1.00

57.5

9.4

12/18e

39.1

3.0

0.19

0.16

57.7

1.5

12/19e

41.9

3.5

0.22

0.17

49.5

1.6

Note: *PBT and EPS are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles, exceptional items and share-based payments.

Agreement to acquire financial software company

TXT has signed a letter of intent to acquire Cheleo S.r.l, an Italian developer of lifecycle management software for financing. Cheleo’s portfolio includes software to manage the entire process (initial application, credit management and collection, disposal of loan books) for leasing, mortgages, personal loans, salary-based loans, factoring and non-performing loans. Customers are Italian specialist financial companies. Cheleo is indirectly majority-owned by Enrico Magni, TXT’s largest shareholder and a TXT board director. The price is based on an enterprise value of €7.6m with c €2.5m of net cash. Cheleo reported 2017 revenues of €2.8m and EBITDA of €0.95m (34% margin). This implies an EV/EBITDA multiple of 8x versus TXT’s multiple of 9x FY18e. TXT will pay 60% in cash and 40% in treasury shares.

Potentially accretive deal

While Cheleo will continue to operate on a standalone basis within the banking and finance division, we expect a focus on cross-selling opportunities across the combined Italian client base. The two founders, Bruno Roma and Flavio Minari, will remain on the Cheleo board and will be entitled to a future cash payment based on the performance of Cheleo in 2019. Subject to the outcome of due diligence, TXT expects to complete the acquisition by the end of July. Conservatively factoring in flat revenues and margins, we estimate that the deal is likely to increase EBITDA margins by 0.7pp in FY18e and 1.4pp in FY19e, and lift FY18e normalised EPS by 11% and FY19e by 23%. We will revise our forecasts on completion of the deal.

Valuation: Factors in accretive acquisitions

On price-based valuation metrics, TXT continues to trade at a premium to peers as even post the deal c 64% of its market cap is made up by the net cash balance. Until the bulk of TXT’s cash is put to use on value-accretive acquisitions, we would expect the stock to trade at a significant premium to peers on a P/E basis. On an EV basis, TXT trades at a discount to peers, with forecast EBITDA and EBIT margins slightly below the peer group average. The company continues to evaluate targets in the aerospace and automotive space.

Exhibit 1: Financial summary

€'000s

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018e

2019e

Year end 31 December

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

PROFIT & LOSS

Revenue

 

 

46,499

52,560

54,410

61,540

33,060

35,852

39,067

41,855

Cost of sales

(22,351)

(24,854)

(26,455)

(29,189)

(18,954)

(20,224)

(22,087)

(23,826)

Gross profit

24,148

27,706

27,955

32,351

14,106

15,628

16,980

18,030

EBITDA

 

 

5,322

6,263

5,324

6,659

4,260

3,536

4,124

4,620

Operating Profit (before amort and except)

 

 

4,283

5,241

4,284

5,820

3,954

3,180

2,860

3,356

Amortisation of acquired intangibles

0

(285)

(285)

(285)

(264)

(439)

(439)

(439)

Exceptionals and other income

939

0

1,468

0

(557)

0

0

0

Other income

0

0

0

(740)

0

(69)

0

0

Operating Profit

5,222

4,956

5,467

4,795

3,133

2,672

2,421

2,917

Net Interest

(37)

(435)

(249)

(151)

48

(208)

150

150

Profit Before Tax (norm)

 

 

4,246

4,806

4,035

5,669

4,002

2,972

3,010

3,506

Profit Before Tax (FRS 3)

 

 

5,185

4,521

5,218

4,644

3,181

2,464

2,571

3,067

Tax

(188)

121

(1,046)

(762)

(661)

(710)

(720)

(859)

Profit After Tax (norm)

4,092

4,927

3,226

4,739

3,170

2,170

2,167

2,524

Profit After Tax (FRS 3)

4,997

4,642

4,172

3,882

2,520

1,754

1,851

2,208

Average Number of Shares Outstanding (m)

11.0

11.5

11.5

11.7

11.7

11.7

11.7

11.7

EPS - normalised (€)

 

 

0.371

0.428

0.281

0.406

0.271

0.186

0.185

0.216

EPS - normalised fully diluted (€)

 

 

0.340

0.411

0.276

0.403

0.271

0.186

0.185

0.216

EPS - (IFRS) (€)

 

 

0.454

0.403

0.364

0.333

0.475

5.874

0.158

0.189

Dividend per share (c)

0.18

0.23

0.23

0.25

0.30

1.00

0.16

0.17

Gross margin (%)

51.9

52.7

51.4

52.6

42.7

43.6

43.5

43.1

EBITDA Margin (%)

11.4

11.9

9.8

10.8

12.9

9.9

10.6

11.0

Operating Margin (before GW and except) (%)

9.2

10.0

7.9

9.5

12.0

8.9

7.3

8.0

BALANCE SHEET

Fixed Assets

 

 

18,570

17,850

18,019

18,132

25,428

8,860

9,076

7,793

Intangible Assets

16,621

15,370

15,078

14,692

21,296

7,332

6,888

6,445

Tangible Assets

1,154

1,118

1,249

1,361

1,598

793

1,453

613

Other

795

1,362

1,692

2,079

2,534

735

735

735

Current Assets

 

 

36,769

34,914

34,892

38,946

37,085

109,426

100,593

103,174

Stocks

1,388

1,451

1,820

2,075

3,146

2,528

2,628

2,728

Debtors

19,562

18,642

20,768

27,791

26,369

17,215

18,196

19,494

Cash

15,819

14,821

12,304

9,080

7,570

89,683

79,769

80,952

Other

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Current Liabilities

 

 

(20,651)

(17,864)

(17,451)

(18,349)

(21,051)

(13,612)

(15,323)

(16,286)

Creditors

(15,155)

(14,512)

(15,297)

(17,528)

(20,243)

(12,937)

(14,048)

(15,011)

Short term borrowings

(5,496)

(3,352)

(2,154)

(821)

(808)

(675)

(1,275)

(1,275)

Long Term Liabilities

 

 

(8,666)

(6,965)

(6,491)

(5,105)

(7,180)

(4,781)

(4,781)

(4,781)

Long term borrowings

(4,301)

(2,896)

(1,685)

0

(1,391)

(1,688)

(1,688)

(1,688)

Other long term liabilities

(4,365)

(4,069)

(4,806)

(5,105)

(5,789)

(3,093)

(3,093)

(3,093)

Net Assets

 

 

26,022

27,935

28,969

33,624

34,282

99,893

89,565

89,900

CASH FLOW

Operating Cash Flow

 

 

2,760

7,630

5,404

2,412

10,676

119

4,155

4,185

Net Interest

(37)

(435)

(249)

(151)

105

(208)

150

150

Tax

64

(1,615)

(1,344)

(1,461)

(2,022)

379

(720)

(859)

Capex

(405)

(483)

(615)

(763)

(738)

(661)

(420)

(420)

Acquisitions/disposals

(8,450)

19

0

0

(5,403)

82,250

0

0

Financing

1,690

(755)

(597)

2,215

(828)

(6)

(440)

0

Dividends

0

(2,107)

(2,615)

(2,678)

(2,931)

(3,496)

(11,738)

(1,874)

Net Cash Flow

(4,378)

2,254

(16)

(426)

(1,141)

78,377

(9,013)

1,182

Opening net debt/(cash)

 

 

(10,266)

(6,023)

(8,575)

(8,465)

(8,259)

(5,371)

(87,320)

(76,806)

HP finance leases initiated

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Other

135

298

(94)

220

(1,747)

3,572

(1,500)

0

Closing net debt/(cash)

 

 

(6,023)

(8,575)

(8,465)

(8,259)

(5,371)

(87,320)

(76,806)

(77,989)

Source: TXT e-solutions, Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world-renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisers and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting. Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (Edison NZ) is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison. Edison NZ is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. Edison Investment Research Inc (Edison US) is the US subsidiary of Edison and is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison Investment Research Pty Limited (Edison Aus) [46085869] is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison Germany is a branch entity of Edison Investment Research Limited [4794244]. www.edisongroup.com

DISCLAIMER
Copyright 2018 Edison Investment Research Limited. All rights reserved. This report has been commissioned by TXT e-solutions and prepared and issued by Edison for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. The securities described in the Investment Research may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This research is issued in Australia by Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Myonlineadvisers Pty Ltd (AFSL: 427484)) and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. The Investment Research is distributed in the United States by Edison US to major US institutional investors only. Edison US is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison US relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personalised advice. We publish information about companies in which we believe our readers may be interested and this information reflects our sincere opinions. The information that we provide or that is derived from our website is not intended to be, and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, our website and the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. This document is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report. Edison or its affiliates may perform services or solicit business from any of the companies mentioned in this report. The value of securities mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise and are subject to large and sudden swings. In addition it may be difficult or not possible to buy, sell or obtain accurate information about the value of securities mentioned in this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (ie without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Edison, its affiliates and contractors, and their respective directors, officers and employees will not be liable for any loss or damage arising as a result of reliance being placed on any of the information contained in this report and do not guarantee the returns on investments in the products discussed in this publication. FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE 2018. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under license. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s express written consent.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

295 Madison Avenue, 18th Floor

10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

295 Madison Avenue, 18th Floor

10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world-renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisers and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting. Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (Edison NZ) is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison. Edison NZ is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. Edison Investment Research Inc (Edison US) is the US subsidiary of Edison and is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison Investment Research Pty Limited (Edison Aus) [46085869] is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison Germany is a branch entity of Edison Investment Research Limited [4794244]. www.edisongroup.com

DISCLAIMER
Copyright 2018 Edison Investment Research Limited. All rights reserved. This report has been commissioned by TXT e-solutions and prepared and issued by Edison for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. The securities described in the Investment Research may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This research is issued in Australia by Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Myonlineadvisers Pty Ltd (AFSL: 427484)) and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. The Investment Research is distributed in the United States by Edison US to major US institutional investors only. Edison US is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison US relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personalised advice. We publish information about companies in which we believe our readers may be interested and this information reflects our sincere opinions. The information that we provide or that is derived from our website is not intended to be, and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, our website and the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. This document is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report. Edison or its affiliates may perform services or solicit business from any of the companies mentioned in this report. The value of securities mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise and are subject to large and sudden swings. In addition it may be difficult or not possible to buy, sell or obtain accurate information about the value of securities mentioned in this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (ie without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Edison, its affiliates and contractors, and their respective directors, officers and employees will not be liable for any loss or damage arising as a result of reliance being placed on any of the information contained in this report and do not guarantee the returns on investments in the products discussed in this publication. FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE 2018. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under license. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s express written consent.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

295 Madison Avenue, 18th Floor

10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

295 Madison Avenue, 18th Floor

10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

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