OpGen — FY22 wrap offers key operational takeaways

OpGen (NASDAQ: OPGN)

Last close As at 01/11/2024

USD1.67

−0.16 (−8.74%)

Market capitalisation

USD14m

More on this equity

Research: Healthcare

OpGen — FY22 wrap offers key operational takeaways

OpGen has announced preliminary FY22 results and provided a business update ahead of the detailed FY22 report expected in March 2023. Group revenue came in at $2.7m, slightly below the mid-point of the guidance range of $2.5–3.0m and 15% below our estimate. While the year was marked by several business advancements (including two Acuitas AMR Gene Panel commercial contracts, successful completion of the urinary tract infection (UTI) test panel trial, launch of ARES sequencing services in the US, and collaborations with FIND and BioVersys), top-line growth was undermined by a tough macroeconomic environment and longer sales cycles for ARES. The year-end gross cash balance stood at $7.4m and has been bolstered by the $6.8m in net proceeds raised in the January 2023 equity issue. Management estimates the combined balance will fund operations to June 2023. Our estimates and valuation are under review.

Soo Romanoff

Written by

Soo Romanoff

Managing Director - Head of Content, Healthcare

Laboratory Opgen

Healthcare

OpGen

FY22 wrap offers key operational takeaways

FY22 preliminary results

Pharma and biotech

19 January 2023

Price

US$2.52

Market cap

US$9m

Pro forma gross cash (US$m) at 31 December 2022 (including net proceeds from January 2023 equity raise)

14.2

Shares in issue (excluding 2m pre-funded warrants yet to be converted to shares of the 2.59m shares and pre-funded warrants issued as part of January 2023 equity raise, offering to close on 20 January)

3.5m

Free float

92.5%

Code

OPGN

Primary exchange

Nasdaq

Secondary exchange

N/A

Share price performance

Business description

OpGen is primarily a lab diagnostic manufacturer focused on identifying and treating bacterial infections. With the acquisition of Curetis in H120, management has the technology necessary to detect pathogens and predict resistance. Through the dual platform offering of the AMR Gene Panel and Unyvero, the company can provide diagnostic results in hours instead of days under legacy technologies.

Analysts

Soo Romanoff

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Jyoti Prakash, CFA

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Nidhi Singh

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

OpGen is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited

OpGen has announced preliminary FY22 results and provided a business update ahead of the detailed FY22 report expected in March 2023. Group revenue came in at $2.7m, slightly below the mid-point of the guidance range of $2.5–3.0m and 15% below our estimate. While the year was marked by several business advancements (including two Acuitas AMR Gene Panel commercial contracts, successful completion of the urinary tract infection (UTI) test panel trial, launch of ARES sequencing services in the US, and collaborations with FIND and BioVersys), top-line growth was undermined by a tough macroeconomic environment and longer sales cycles for ARES. The year-end gross cash balance stood at $7.4m and has been bolstered by the $6.8m in net proceeds raised in the January 2023 equity issue. Management estimates the combined balance will fund operations to June 2023. Our estimates and valuation are under review.

Year end

Revenue ($m)

EBITDA*

($m)

PBT*

($m)

EPS*
(p)

P/revenue
(x)

P/E
(x)

Net debt/

(cash) ($m)

12/20

4.2

(19.6)

(24.7)

(31.5)

1.7

N/A

6.7

12/21

4.3

(20.4)

(35.7)

(23.4)

1.7

N/A

(14.4)

Note: *EBITDA, PBT and EPS are normalized, excluding amortization of acquired intangibles, exceptional items and share-based payments. EPS adjusted for the 1:20 share consolidation in January 2023.

Following positive sales traction in H122, the second half of the year has been softer for OpGen, with top-line growth adversely affected by a slowdown in international sales of Unyvero systems/cartridges and longer than expected sales cycles for ARES. The FY22 revenue of $2.7m was a c 37% decline over the FY21 figure of $4.3m, and while the Q422 figure was better than the previous quarter ($0.8m revenue in Q422 vs $0.5m in Q322), it was still lower than the $1.4m figure recorded in Q421. We anticipate sales momentum to pick up in FY23 driven by our expectation of the two Acuitas systems reaching full capacity, commercial conversion of sales pipelines (Unyvero, ARES and Acuitas) and the contribution from the FIND collaboration (the first milestone payment was triggered at the end of FY22) and BioVersys clinical trials ($100–200k across 18 months, starting in 2023). Management also anticipates submitting the FDA application for its UTI test panel in the coming months (following encouraging top-line data from the clinical trial), which would add another revenue stream on clearance and subsequent commercialization.

The beginning of FY23 has seen several key developments for OpGen, including a 1:20 share consolidation and a $7.5m (gross proceeds) equity issue in January 2023. Management estimates that the net proceeds from the raise ($6.8m) along with cash at hand should be sufficient to fund operations to June 2023, but we anticipate it will need to raise another c $10m in H223 and $45m over FY24–26, before OpGen reaches the scale to fund its operations from internally generated cash flows by FY27.

General disclaimer and copyright

This report has been commissioned by OpGen and prepared and issued by Edison, in consideration of a fee payable by OpGen. Edison Investment Research standard fees are £60,000 pa for the production and broad dissemination of a detailed note (Outlook) following by regular (typically quarterly) update notes. Fees are paid upfront in cash without recourse. Edison may seek additional fees for the provision of roadshows and related IR services for the client but does not get remunerated for any investment banking services. We never take payment in stock, options or warrants for any of our services.

Accuracy of content: All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and have not sought for this information to be independently verified. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations.

Exclusion of Liability: To the fullest extent allowed by law, Edison shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits, damages, costs or expenses incurred or suffered by you arising out or in connection with the access to, use of or reliance on any information contained on this note.

No personalised advice: The information that we provide should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The securities described in the report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors.

Investment in securities mentioned: Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing and conflicts of interest. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report, subject to Edison's policies on personal dealing and conflicts of interest.

Copyright: Copyright 2023 Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison).

Australia

Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Edison AU) is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison AU is a Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Crown Wealth Group Pty Ltd who holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (Number: 494274). This research is issued in Australia by Edison AU and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. Any advice given by Edison AU is general advice only and does not take into account your personal circumstances, needs or objectives. You should, before acting on this advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If our advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product you should read any relevant Product Disclosure Statement or like instrument.

New Zealand

The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (i.e. without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision.

United Kingdom

This document is prepared and provided by Edison for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

This Communication is being distributed in the United Kingdom and is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments, i.e. investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "FPO") (ii) high net-worth companies, unincorporated associations or other bodies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO and (iii) persons to whom it is otherwise lawful to distribute it. The investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to such persons. It is not intended that this document be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons and in any event and under no circumstances should persons of any other description rely on or act upon the contents of this document.

This Communication is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced by, further distributed to or published in whole or in part by, any other person.

United States

Edison relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. This report is a bona fide publication of general and regular circulation offering impersonal investment-related advice, not tailored to a specific investment portfolio or the needs of current and/or prospective subscribers. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personal advice and the research provided is for informational purposes only. No mention of a particular security in this report constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

General disclaimer and copyright

This report has been commissioned by OpGen and prepared and issued by Edison, in consideration of a fee payable by OpGen. Edison Investment Research standard fees are £60,000 pa for the production and broad dissemination of a detailed note (Outlook) following by regular (typically quarterly) update notes. Fees are paid upfront in cash without recourse. Edison may seek additional fees for the provision of roadshows and related IR services for the client but does not get remunerated for any investment banking services. We never take payment in stock, options or warrants for any of our services.

Accuracy of content: All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and have not sought for this information to be independently verified. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations.

Exclusion of Liability: To the fullest extent allowed by law, Edison shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits, damages, costs or expenses incurred or suffered by you arising out or in connection with the access to, use of or reliance on any information contained on this note.

No personalised advice: The information that we provide should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The securities described in the report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors.

Investment in securities mentioned: Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing and conflicts of interest. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report, subject to Edison's policies on personal dealing and conflicts of interest.

Copyright: Copyright 2023 Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison).

Australia

Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Edison AU) is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison AU is a Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Crown Wealth Group Pty Ltd who holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (Number: 494274). This research is issued in Australia by Edison AU and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. Any advice given by Edison AU is general advice only and does not take into account your personal circumstances, needs or objectives. You should, before acting on this advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If our advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product you should read any relevant Product Disclosure Statement or like instrument.

New Zealand

The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (i.e. without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision.

United Kingdom

This document is prepared and provided by Edison for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

This Communication is being distributed in the United Kingdom and is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments, i.e. investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "FPO") (ii) high net-worth companies, unincorporated associations or other bodies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO and (iii) persons to whom it is otherwise lawful to distribute it. The investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to such persons. It is not intended that this document be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons and in any event and under no circumstances should persons of any other description rely on or act upon the contents of this document.

This Communication is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced by, further distributed to or published in whole or in part by, any other person.

United States

Edison relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. This report is a bona fide publication of general and regular circulation offering impersonal investment-related advice, not tailored to a specific investment portfolio or the needs of current and/or prospective subscribers. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personal advice and the research provided is for informational purposes only. No mention of a particular security in this report constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

More on OpGen

View All

Latest from the Healthcare sector

View All Healthcare content

Research: Healthcare

Creo Medical — Progressing on all fronts

2022 was an eventful year for Creo Medical, as it progressed on all fronts of its ‘Build, Buy and Partner’ strategy. The period was marked by the increasing traction of Speedboat Inject (its flagship electrosurgical device) and its proprietary CROMA technology platform. Enhanced levels of user, robotics deals with Intuitive and CMR, and multiple heads of terms agreements all suggest a potential inflection point for Creo. To factor in these developments and the improved visibility of the company’s near-term plans, we have revisited our model assumptions and introduced more granularity to our estimates. We now categorise Creo’s revenue stream from three sources: Core technology, Consumables and Partnerships, resulting in our valuation rising to £493m or 272p/share, from £489m (269p/share) previously. We note that at current burn rates, Creo would need to raise funds by Q223 to continue supporting its development plans.

Continue Reading

Subscribe to Edison

Get access to the very latest content matched to your personal investment style.

Sign up for free