Murray Income Trust (MUT) invests in high-quality, mainly UK-listed stocks. MUT’s manager, Charles Luke, believes quality stocks are best placed to support the trust’s objective to provide a high and rising dividend. The trust has realised this objective, delivering continually rising dividends for 51 years, and looks set to extend this record in FY25. MUT’s quality focus has undermined its relative performance over recent years, as value stocks have outperformed, but long-term performance has been positive and close to the benchmark, satisfying MUT’s capital growth goal. And Luke is optimistic about the prospects for UK equities, especially the quality businesses he targets. Investors have been underweight this market for some time, suggesting a rise in inflows is overdue, especially as the UK’s political environment has stabilised. Furthermore, declining interest rates should encourage greater M&A activity as investors seek to take advantage of valuations that Luke believes remain ‘compelling’.
Income focus keeps paying dividends |
Maintaining a long-term record of growing dividends
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Source: LSEG Data & Analytics, Edison Investment Research. Note: *The board has indicated that the dividend for the financial year ended 30 June 2025 (FY25) will total at least 39.0p per share.
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MUT’s commitment to annually increasing dividends, and a relatively high dividend yield, should appeal to investors seeking a regular, competitive and rising income. The trust’s current prospective yield is 4.9%.
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MUT may appeal to those seeking exposure to a diversified portfolio of high-quality, resilient, mainly UK stocks. The trust is diversified by sector and by income source: 75% of portfolio income is sourced from abroad, which provides significant protection from fluctuations in the UK’s economic climate. A programme of option writing provides a further modest, uncorrelated supplement to portfolio revenues.
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The trust’s long-term performance track record of outright gains very close to the benchmark should also interest potential investors.
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MUT’s discount is more than double its long-term average, so now may be an opportune time to gain exposure to the regular income, capital growth and relative value offered by this trust, especially if UK equities return to favour with investors and if MUT’s performance returns to form.
Quality approach supports income generation
Murray Income Trust (MUT) invests in high-quality businesses with robust competitive positions, attractive margins, strong balance sheets and experienced managers. In the view of MUT’s manager, Charles Luke, such companies have fewer tail risks and a greater margin of safety, and generate more resilient and sustainable earnings, which support the trust’s income generation objective: to provide a high, and rising, dividend.
In a further effort to enhance the portfolio’s income, Luke seeks to diversify and supplement its income sources in a couple ways. Firstly, the trust has a modest option writing programme. Income from these transactions also gives the manager scope to invest in companies with lower starting yields, but attractive dividend and capital growth prospects. Option-writing premiums totalled £2.8m in FY24, representing 6.5% of total income over the period (up from 5.6% of income in FY23). Current option positions include calls on Astra Zeneca, Microsoft and Novo Nordisk.
In addition, MUT has scope to invest up to 20% of its portfolio in overseas companies, providing access to income sources, and sectors, that are relatively concentrated within the UK. These holdings also provide diversification benefits via exposure to sectors which have limited or no coverage in the UK market, such as pharmaceuticals, IT, credit card providers and luxury brands, and to better quality names than UK counterparts. At present MUT owns 14 overseas companies, representing 19% of its portfolio (see Portfolio allocation section for details).
Exposure to ‘unstoppable long-term trends’ also helps income
Ultimately, MUT’s ability to realise its dividend objective is dependent on the earnings growth of the businesses in which it invests. Many of its holdings have exposure to what Luke refers to as ‘unstoppable long-term trends’, which should generate favourable tailwinds for earnings growth over the medium term. He estimates that 75% of the portfolio has exposure to trends such as ageing populations, digital transformation, the transition to clean energy and the growing wealth of the world’s burgeoning middle classes. For example, MUT’s holdings in drug companies AstraZeneca, Novo Nordisk and GSK give it exposure to the needs of ageing populations, while positions in Microsoft, Mastercard and Experian give leverage into the digital transformation theme. Positions in Rotork and National Grid play into the energy transition theme, and luxury brands such as LVMH and Mercedes Benz, a recent acquisition, benefit from the aspirational spending of the middle classes of China and other Asian economies.
Long record of dividend increases set to extend in FY25
The manager’s focus on income generation is paying dividends, literally. The trust boasts 51 consecutive years of dividend growth, and the board has foreshadowed a further increase for the current financial year ending 30 June 2025 (FY25). The dividend for the financial year ended June 2024 (FY24) was 38.50p per share, a rise of 2.7% on the previous year (FY23: 37.5p) (see the chart above). The dividend was modestly supplemented (£0.6m) by revenue reserves, as revenue per share in FY24 totalled 37.4p (FY23: 38.7p). This drop in revenue was in part the result of an increasing trend for companies to return capital to shareholders via share buybacks rather than via dividend payments. In addition, MUT’s portfolio income was adversely affected by the suspension of Close Brothers’ dividend (discussed further below) and a reduced dividend from Direct Line, but the manager expects both these companies to resume normal dividend payments over the next couple of years.
In a recent presentation, MUT’s chairman, Peter Tait, stressed that the board is very aware of shareholders’ desire for a high and rising income, and increasing dividend payments remain a ‘real focus’. Despite the recent drop in portfolio income, the board is confident of the trust’s ability to keep growing its dividend in future years, supported, if necessary, by its ample reserves. MUT’s revenue reserves stood at £22m following the payment of the fourth dividend for FY24, equivalent to 55% of the current annual dividend.
Consistent with the board’s commitment to dividend growth, it has confirmed that the first three dividend payments for FY25 will each be 9.5p per share, the same as the previous year’s first three interim dividends. These will be paid in December, March and June respectively. The board expects the fourth interim dividend for the year will ‘not be less than 10.5p per share, giving an expected total for the year of a minimum of 39.0p per share’. This represents a rise of at least 1.3% on the FY24 dividend. This fourth interim dividend will be paid in September 2025. Based on the current share price, this represents a prospective yield of 4.9%.
Capital growth positive and close to benchmark over long term
While MUT’s dividend record is certainly commendable, its near-term performance has disappointed. In the six months to end October 2024, its NAV declined by 1.1%, lagging the benchmark return of +2.2%. This extends the trust’s underperformance of recent years, as its quality holdings have underperformed more value-oriented names (see the Performance section for details). However, its performance over five- and 10-year periods is positive in absolute terms and close to the benchmark.
UK equities currently offer unusual value….
Luke is optimistic about the outlook for UK equities, especially the high-quality businesses the trust targets, for several reasons. In his view, UK equity valuations remain ‘compelling’ versus both history and relative to other markets, at the headline level and across sectors. The dividend yield offered by the UK market is also attractive relative to other regional equity markets. Furthermore, many of MUT’s portfolio holdings have exposure to global growth opportunities due to their competitive advantages; 75% of portfolio revenues are generated from overseas. This provides significant protection from the vagaries of the UK economy.
…which may tempt investors back to this undervalued market
Despite the value offered by UK equities, this market has been out of favour with both domestic and foreign investors for some time and they are significantly underweight. However, Luke sees the potential for this to change. In his view, the certainty offered by a new government with a large majority and an agenda focused on growth may encourage the return of investors spooked by the Brexit vote and the instability and erratic policy decisions of the previous government. And with interest rates declining, the manager also sees potential for a significant increase in merger and acquisition (M&A) activity. Private equity investors and other participants in M&A tend to target the same kind of high-quality businesses in which MUT invests, so some of the trust’s portfolio holdings may be direct beneficiaries of any surge in takeover activity.
Wide discount should narrow if UK equities return to favour
The value offered by UK equities is enhanced by the fact that UK equity investment trusts are trading at unusually wide discounts to their NAVs. Indeed, discounts have widened across the investment trust sector in the past couple of years, regardless of underlying strategy. This is due in part to the higher interest rate environment, which raised the returns on lower-risk investments in cash and bonds. MUT has not been spared from this general increase in share price discounts. Having averaged around 5% over the past 10 years, its discount is currently more than double this level (Exhibit 1).
MUT’s board has responded by stepping up share buybacks to support the share price and reduce discount volatility. The company bought back just over 7.0m shares in FY24, representing 6.3% of shares in issue (FY23 share repurchases comprised 4.3% of outstanding shares), and has repurchased a further 2.3m shares since end FY24 (as at 15 November 2024). These buybacks are accretive to the value of the remaining shares. During FY24, repurchases contributed 0.6% to NAV. And, arguably, they have served to stabilise the discount around current levels over recent months.
We see potential for MUT’s discount to narrow back towards its long-term average as and when investor sentiment towards UK equities improves, as Luke predicts. The share price would also benefit if MUT’s relative performance returns to form. So, for those who share the manager’s confidence in the longer-term prospects of the UK market, and MUT’s portfolio holdings, the current unusually wide discount may represent an attractive entry point.