Wincanton — Update 31 March 2016

Wincanton — Update 31 March 2016

Wincanton

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Wincanton

Trading in line, debt reduction benefits

Pre-close statement

Industrial support services

31 March 2016

Price

150.0p

Market cap

£186m

Net debt (£m) at September 2015

62.2

Shares in issue

123.7m

Free float

92%

Code

WIN

Primary exchange

LSE

Secondary exchange

N/A

Share price performance

Business description

Wincanton is a leading provider of supply chain solutions in the UK and Ireland. A comprehensive warehousing and transport network allows it to provide a flexible logistics solution across a range of industries. The Specialist division includes Containers and Pullman Fleet Services.

Analysts

Roger Johnston

+44 (0)20 3077 5722

Neil Basten

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Wincanton is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited

Wincanton’s pre-close statement has reaffirmed that trading results will be in line with expectations. With the proceeds received from the disposal of Records Management used to pay down debt and £34m of US Private Placement notes repaid on maturity via the RCF, Wincanton is set to see an ongoing reduction in financing costs as forecast. This follows the thesis set out in our March 2016 initiation that the group is now a more focused logistics play with increasing financial flexibility.

Year end

Revenue
(£m)

PBT*
(£m)

EPS*
(p)

DPS
(p)

P/E
(x)

Yield
(%)

03/14

1,098.0

25.6

16.6

0.0

9.0

N/A

03/15

1,107.4

31.4

21.1

0.0

7.1

N/A

03/16e

1,146.7

33.1

22.3

0.0

6.7

N/A

03/17e

1,138.1

33.3

22.4

7.0

6.7

4.7

Note: *PBT and EPS are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles, share-based payments.

The pre-close statement confirmed that trading, adjusted for disposal of Records Management, which completed on 8 December 2015, is in line with expectations as set out at the time of the half year results on 12 November 2015. We see this as reaffirming our view that Wincanton is a clear UK logistics market leader with a diversified industry mix from which to grow further.

The statement confirmed that disposal proceeds from the Records Management sale have been used to repay £50m of the £75m M&G debt, which benefited average net debt during the final quarter and resultant financing cost, as we had anticipated in our forecasts. In addition and as planned, the group has utilised its RCF to repay £34m of US Private Placement debt on maturity, while a further £7m has also been contributed to the pension scheme from the Records Management disposal proceeds.

Preliminary results are due on 9 June and we maintain our forecasts and view, as set out in our March 2016 initiation, that the current rating reflects a historic view of Wincanton and as yet does not reward the positive progress made in repositioning the group with improved financial flexibility. Our valuation range remains 219-242p.

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United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

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US

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Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

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New Zealand

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Henderson Global Trust — Update 31 March 2016

Henderson Global Trust

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