Industrials |
edison tv
Industrials |
Initiation
edison tv
Industrials |
edison tv
Forecast net debt (C$m)
2.6
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (47.4) | (83.9) | (94.2) |
Relative | (45.5) | (82.5) | (94.0) |
52 week high/low | C$1.8/C$0.1 |
Loop Energy’s patented PEM fuel cell technology has a leading combination of fuel efficiency, power density and durability, resulting in an attractive total cost of ownership (TCO), providing the company with a competitive advantage. This is supported by a recent transformational commercial order with electric truck maker Tevva, won via a competitive tender process. Loop Energy is targeting disruptors and early movers in electrification of the return-to-base fleet segment of road transport, which should help it to ramp up sales and drive down costs relatively quickly. We consider only the truck and bus markets, which are a portion of the company’s total addressable market, and estimate a US$4bn market in 2030 and a c US$60bn market by 2050. Our DCF valuation for Loop Energy implies C$4.5/share at a 15% cost of capital, which is more than double the current share price. This increases sharply as the investment case de-risks.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (C$m) | EBITDA (C$m) | PBT (C$m) | EPS (fd) (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020A | 0.5 | (7.5) | (8.9) | (43.98) | N/A | N/A |
2021A | 1.4 | (23.5) | (25.1) | (74.77) | N/A | N/A |
2022E | 4.2 | (39.4) | (42.5) | (118.89) | N/A | N/A |
2023E | 28.0 | (43.9) | (47.6) | (132.48) | N/A | N/A |
thematic
Industrials